wednesday brainstorming

1. So far no surprises except that the YEN finally moves into the logical direction and even Nikkei is window dressed up. Markets are moving up around the world as the fund managers want to churn their clients with higher fee’s and banksters need to mark their long books accordingly higher to cover up their muni and bond losses. Short term the SPX will run into resistance at 1330 and we should see a decline from that levels for a week before a retest of the highs is very likely as the bull manipulayors have not much time left with QE3 rather not announced that quickly if at all this year some smart money will start taking profits before we reach June’s deadline for QE2. Since weekly MACD gave sell signals we will see a bearish divergence which means a new high is likely within April before a sharp sell off should follow or rather a trend change.

2.Apple will go for the final run up as the fact that Steve will likely not return is a serious issue and they want higher prices to dump the stock but in the meantime again 360-70 is due. Google is working full speed ahead to catch up to the Ipad hype as the final version of honeycomb is not released. The fact that Apple came with a Verizion Iphone 4 was quite a gamble since they delay Iphone 5 until Oct. at least and concentrate on the Ipad 2 boom. Problem is that many are already offering 2 core phones from HTC to LG which outperform the Iphone already and in Aug. quad core Nvidia processors will find their way into phones and tablets which will steal some business as also a price war kicks in. On the other hand Apple is preparing for mass market share as it likely will introduce a low cost Iphone to broaden the IOS platform and make it more attractive fore devlopers of Apps.

excerpt

IDC predicts Windows Phone will top Apple’s iOS in market share by 2015

By Katie Marsal

Published: 02:15 PM EST 

A new forecast of the global smartphone platform market from research firm IDC has predicted that Microsoft’s Windows Phone platform will see a resurgence in the next four years, overtaking Apple’s iOS platform which powers the iPhone.

IDC on Tuesday revealed its prediction that the worldwide smartphone market will grow 49.2 percent in 2011, with more than 450 million smartphones shipped. That would be a major increase from the 303.4 million units shipped in 2010.

IDC sees Apple’s iOS taking 15.7 percent of global smartphone operating system market shipments in 2011. That would place Apple’s platform which powers the iPhone in third place, behind market leader Android, with 39.5 percent, and Symbian, with 20.9 percent.

But despite the tremendous growth of the iPhone since it was introduced in 2007, IDC sees Apple’s platform share actually dipping in global share by 2015 to 15.3 percent. Perhaps most surprising is the firm’s prediction that Windows Phone 7 and Windows Mobile will grow to 20.9 percent of the market by 2015.

Growth of the multi-device Windows Phone platform is expected to be driven by Nokia’s decision to adopt Microsoft’s platform on its future mobile devices. Microsoft is said to be paying billions of dollars to Nokia in their arrangement.

“Up until the launch of Windows Phone 7 last year, Microsoft has steadily lost market share while other operating systems have brought forth new and appealing experiences,” said Ramon Llamas, senior research analyst with IDC’s Mobile Devices Technology and Trends team. “The new alliance brings together Nokia’s hardware capabilities and Windows Phone’s differentiated platform. We expect the first devices to launch in 2012. By 2015, IDC expects Windows Phone to be number 2 operating system worldwide behind Android.”

IDC

Accordingly, IDC sees the share of Nokia’s once-dominant Symbian platform dropping significantly by 2015. In the next four years, IDC sees Symbian representing just 0.2 percent of shipments.

IDC sees the smartphone market growing more than four times faster than the overall mobile phone market in the coming years. However, in the firm’s projections, smartphones will not see market growth in 2011 as strong as it was in 2010.

 

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~ by behindthematrix on March 30, 2011.

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