monday brainstorming

1. Here a good analysis from an unexpected source – since he is an ex CIA man but still usually its never a coincidence who appears on TV hence someone wanted him to speak out the way he does.

Former CIA Analyst Tells Truth About Libya Intervention On CNN, Hilarity Ensues

Tyler Durden's picture

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/04/2011 11:05 -0400

Former CIA analyst Michael Scheuer appeared on CNN and told his lovely blonde and brunette anchors the truth about what is really happening. The hilarious Stepford Wives reaction and the unprecedented cognitive dissonance the ensues is worth the price of admission.

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2. One of the biggest bullshit stories within the propaganda of Bloomberg is the profit myth as todays profits are not comparable to any former ones since accounting rules have been changed dramatically and 29% of the SPX profits are from financials who cook their books legally thanks to Obama’s new transparency agenda. Even f we would reach the fake 90 Dollar it is not a cheap valuation given all the risks and the simple fact almost every sovereign is bankrupt accept for the ones driving the inflation commodity rich countries. That is rather a reason for war and not for a happy go lucky attitude on markets.

Biggest Profit Gain Since 1900 Sustains S&P 500 After Rally

By Rita Nazareth and Michael Patterson – Apr 4, 2011 5:04 PM GMT+0300
Biggest Profit Gain Since 1900 Sustains S&P 500 After Rally

American International Group Inc., the New York-based insurer bailed out by U.S. taxpayers, has posted the biggest turnaround since March 2009. Photographer: JB Reed/Bloomberg

The biggest increase in profits in more than a century is telling investors that this is no time to sell stocks, even after the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rallied 97 percent.

S&P 500 earnings are poised to surpass the 2007 peak of $90 a share in the third quarter after surging from $7 in March 2009, the quickest recovery since at least 1900, according to data from S&P and Yale University’s Robert Shiller compiled by Bloomberg. The gap between projected 12-month profits and average earnings over the last 10 years is set to widen the most since 1951, the data show.

PNC Wealth Management, Federated Investors Inc. and ING Investment Management, which together oversee about $1 trillion, say consumer spending will sustain the recovery after government stimulus helped lift profits from the lowest level since the Great Depression. While earnings will slow in the second half, stock purchases by investors who missed the S&P 500’s advance will fuel gains, according to Leuthold Group LLC.

“People are more comfortable with the recovery than at any time over the last couple of years,” said Doug Ramsey, the Minneapolis-based director of research at Leuthold Group, which oversees $3.9 billion and recommended buying equities four days before the bull market started. “That’s typically when retail investors regain courage,” and may spur a rise of up to 25 percent in the S&P 500 during the next 18 months, he said.

Biggest Since 1937

The S&P 500 rose 1.4 percent to 1,332.41 last week, bringing its 2011 advance to 6 percent and putting it 0.8 percent away from this year’s high of 1,343.01 on Feb. 18. It slumped through March 16 following Japan’s record earthquake and civil unrest in the Middle East and northern Africa. The gauge’s gain since March 9, 2009, is the most over comparable periods since 1937, according to S&P’s Howard Silverblatt. The index climbed less than 0.1 percent at 10:03 a.m. in New York today.

Shares haven’t kept up with earnings. S&P 500 companies’ 12-month profits are projected to reach a record $91 a share by August, according to estimates compiled by S&P and Bloomberg. That would be the highest-ever level on an inflation-adjusted basis and up almost 13-fold from their low two years ago, S&P and Shiller data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Rebound in Profits

The 50-month rebound in profits, following a 92 percent drop during the global financial crisis, would be faster than the 52 months it took to recover from the bursting of the dot- com bubble in 2000, when earnings fell 55 percent, the data show. Profits didn’t recoup their 67 percent tumble during the Great Depression until 19 years later.

American International Group Inc. (AIG), the New York-based insurer bailed out by U.S. taxpayers, has posted the biggest turnaround since March 2009. AIG swung from a trailing 12-month loss of $95.8 billion to net income of $7.79 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

ConocoPhillips in Houston earned $11.4 billion last year after losing $20.3 billion in the 12 months through March 2009, the data show. The third-largest U.S. oil company may report a 22 percent gain in first-quarter net income and a 9 percent decrease for all of 2011, analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg show.

Apple Inc. (AAPL) has boosted net income to $16.6 billion from $7.25 billion in March 2009. The Cupertino, California-based maker of iPads is projected to grow net income 54 percent in its fiscal year ending in September, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Apple is set to report second-quarter results on April 20.

Earnings Season



~ by behindthematrix on April 4, 2011.

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